Inflation Calculator See how inflation erodes purchasing power — adjust past/future values and compare real vs. nominal r...
Inflation Calculator
See how inflation erodes purchasing power — adjust past/future values and compare real vs. nominal returns.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) calculates inflation using the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), which tracks price changes in a “basket” of ~80,000 goods and services:
- Housing (42% of basket): Rent, utilities, maintenance
- Transportation (17%): Gas, vehicles, public transit
- Food (14%): Groceries, dining out
- Medical Care (8%), Education (6%), Other (13%)
Core CPI** excludes food & energy (volatile) — used by the Fed for policy. PCE Price Index** (Personal Consumption Expenditures) is the Fed’s preferred gauge — more flexible weighting.
2025 Note: CPI data lags by 2–4 weeks; final figures are revised monthly.
✅ **Wage earners**: Often get COLA (Cost-of-Living Adjustments), but lag 6–12 months. ❌ **Retirees on fixed pensions**: No COLA = declining standard of living. ❌ **Bondholders**: $1,000 bond pays $50/year forever — but that $50 buys less each year.
Case Study: • $40,000/year pension in 2005 • 3% avg. inflation → by 2025, purchasing power = **$22,300** → Retiree needs ~$72,000 in 2025 to match 2005 lifestyle.
✅ Protection tools: Social Security COLA, TIPS, I-bonds, inflation-adjusted annuities.
- 1913–2024 Avg.: 3.1% per year
- 1970s Peak: 1979–1981: 11–14% (oil shock, wage-price spiral)
- 1990s–2019: 1.5–2.5% (globalization, tech deflation)
- 2021–2023 Surge: 7–9% (pandemic stimulus, supply chains)
- 2024: 3.4% (cooling but still above Fed’s 2% target)
Purchasing Power Erosion: • $100 in **1970** = **$792 today** • $100 in **2000** = **$175 today** • $100 in **2010** = **$135 today**
📉 Rule of 72 for Inflation: 72 ÷ annual rate = years to halve purchasing power. At 3.5%: **20.6 years** to lose half your money’s value.
➡️ Purchasing Power
“What is $X in [Year] worth today?” — uses official CPI data.
➡️ Future Value
“What will $X/year cost in [N] years?” — project costs using custom or historical rates.
➡️ Real Return
See true investment growth: Real Return = Nominal Return − Inflation.
Note: All calculations assume annual compounding. CPI data sourced from BLS (1913–2024).